Last week, Mr. Obama unceremoniously dismissed Lt Gen Stanley McChrystal, the commander of US military operations in Afghanistan. The reason publicly given was for insubordinate and cheeky remarks made by McChrystal and his inner circle in the presence of Michael Hastings, a writer for Rolling Stone magazine.
Although Hastings’ story, “The Runaway General” does recount some impolitic remarks by McChrystal and his staff regarding various members of the Obama administration, I do not believe they were Mr. Obama’s real reason for dumping McChrystal.
Read “The Runaway General” and you’ll learn that McChrystal is a Pattonesque figure—competent, irreverent, impatient, and most of all, naïve and intolerant of politicians. I believe it was the content of Hastings article, an incisive and pessimistic assessment of our presence and prospects in Afghanistan, that was the real impetus for McChrystal’s firing.
Hastings likens our involvement in Afghanistan to our misadventure in Viet Nam: an unwinnable encounter reminiscent of Br’er Rabbit and the Tar Baby. The harder we hit, the more stuck we become, the more impossible it becomes to withdraw. The parallels to Viet Nam are more than coincidence:
- Like Lyndon Johnson, Barak Obama inherited a military mess from a previous administration.
- Like Johnson, Obama lacks the military savvy to prosecute all-out war.
- Like Johnson, he also lacks the courage and common sense to get the hell out.
- Viet Nam was run by a corrupt regime that milked American largesse to the maximum.
- As in Viet Nam, the top-level men in Afghanistan are lining their own pockets, being careful to stash their money outside the country. They will hang on until either the Taliban or the Americans unseat them and then live out their lives in comfortable exile.
- As in Viet Nam, the issues in Afghanistan are not freedom, democracy, or economic stability and growth. What is foremost in the minds of the people is getting rid of the “foreign devils,” whoever they might be.
- The Vietnamese got rid of the French and inherited the Americans. The Americans supported a corrupt, pliable, inefficient puppet government. From the perspective of the average Vietnamese, life under the Americans was about the same as life under the French. Their country was occupied by a foreign army that might never leave.
- Same in Afghanistan. The Afghanis got rid of the Russians with our help. (We supplied weapons and training to Afghani freedom fighters opposing the Russians. The freedom fighters, now known as the Taliban, ousted the Russians). Then, after 9/11, which had almost nothing to do with the Afghanis themselves, the country inherited American invaders who were looking for a needle in a haystack named bin Laden. We’ve been there ever since.
Afghanistan now has the dubious distinction of being the longest war in American history. Our nation’s only ‘blessing’ in this mess is that we’ve lost 1000 dead vs. 58,000 in Viet Nam.
I defy you to define what a “win” would look like in Afghanistan. Gen McChrystal is gone because his boss couldn’t define a win either.
Posted by Lloyd Williams 











Sanctioning Iran: Cut Off Their Supply of Gasoline
June 30, 2010Old joke:
Q: How do you know when Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is lying?
A: When his lips are moving.
Iran, among all countries of the world, probably has the least pressing need for energy alternatives to oil. Iran’s proven reserves of oil are the third largest in the world. Its natural gas reserves are #2. When Ahmadinejad claims his country’s nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, you know he’s lying.
For obvious reasons, most of the rest of the world are deeply concerned about Iran’s nuclear program and, short of war, are looking for ways quickly to curtail it. Most of the talk centers around ‘sanctions,’ cutting Iran off from trade, travel, finance, and other benefits of the global economy.
The simplest sanction to apply: cut off Iran’s supply of gasoline. Gasoline? Isn’t Iran sitting on an ocean of oil? Yes, but Iran’s refining capacity is far below its domestic demand for gasoline. Iran, while exporting 4 million barrels of oil daily, must import 40% of the gasoline consumed by its citizens. The US is leading an effort to cut off Iran’s supply of gasoline and it appears it is having an impact. French refiner Total SA, for example, announced Monday that it would stop supplying gasoline to Iran. As usual, the French are not doing this out of a spirit of cooperation but rather because Total has key interests in the US and has, no doubt, been told by the Obama administration to play ball or pay the price.
A gasoline shortage in Iran would have a major impact on the stability of the Ahmadinejad government. Iran is not a backward Arab Islamic theocracy. First, Iranians are Persians, not Arabs and second, although Ahmadinejad quotes the Prophet when it suits his purposes, the Iranian government is quite secular. The Muslim clerics get significant press (when it suits Ahmadinejad) but lack the power they have in countries like Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. Third, Iran’s population is among the best educated in the Middle East, with a literacy rate of over 80% (including women). Iranians are not the suckers for propaganda and theology that characterize most Middle Easterners.
Green Movement Rally - Tehran
Very much under-reported is Iran’s Green Movement, which is bent on ousting Ahmadinejad and his cronies. The Green Movement is not an environmental cause but rather a continuation of the protests after Iran’s recent questionable re-election of Ahmadinejad. Green was the color of Mir Hossein Mousavi’s Pro-Reform opposition party.
Membership in the Green Movement is not reported, but the Movement has staged rallies attended by over half a million Iranians. About 30 deaths have been reported during Green protests against the Ahmadinejad regime.
Rationing gasoline in an oil-rich country like Iran would have a serious impact on domestic stability. Along with the Green Movement, the rest of Iran is going to be asking Ahmadinejad a pointed question: How is it that we’ve got more oil than almost anyone in the world but we have no gasoline? Why the hell are you building nuclear enrichment facilities when you should be building refineries?
Ahmadinejad has said that Iran will have no trouble meeting domestic needs if there is a gasoline embargo. Again, his lips are moving.